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Looking for Trade Deals
The S&P 500 is up nearly 25% since April 9 when President Trump announced in his now-famous Truth Social post that it was a “…great time...

Event-Driven.blog
Jul 103 min read
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Thinking about the Looming Tax Cuts
At year-end, taxes are scheduled to revert to their pre-2018 levels. This would mean a range of tax increases are on the horizon, with...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 184 min read
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Event-Driven Hedge Funds Drive May Gains
Week after week, we show our readers a multitude of reasons why event-driven strategies are the coiled springs of investing — ready to...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 172 min read
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International Trade Policy: Game of Chicken
Since their respective highs on February 19, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have fallen -13.7% and -19.3% through Friday, April 4....

Event-Driven.blog
Apr 73 min read
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No Trump Put, For Now?
The market narrative during the last month has been consistent with the expectation we shared in our last client letter, that policy...

Event-Driven.blog
Mar 123 min read
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Fed Policy & Market Whipsaw
Despite the fact that many leading economic indicators in recent years have been warning that a recession was just on the horizon, 2024...

Event-Driven.blog
Jan 203 min read
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Take a Look Under the Event-Driven Hood
Every month, our two favorite event-driven portfolio managers (both sporting 5 Stars on Morningstar in the 1, 3, 5, AND 10-year...

Event-Driven.blog
Jan 71 min read
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Unemployment, Recessions, and the S&P 500
Last month, we explained that interest rates were expected to stay higher for longer because inflation had become stubborn. Core PCE was...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 27, 20243 min read
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Higher for Longer | Early Signs of Pain
Interest rates will stay higher for longer. Following its April 30-May 1 meeting, the FOMC made clear that inflation has not sufficiently...

Event-Driven.blog
May 15, 20243 min read
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An Economy of Contradictions
The global economy and financial markets are experiencing an unusual set of contradictions. As many of the world’s major central banks...

Event-Driven.blog
Mar 14, 20245 min read
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2024: Year of Transition
We believe the biggest question of 2024 is: what will follow today’s major yield curve inversions? Today, the Fed is signaling a...

Event-Driven.blog
Feb 18, 20246 min read
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Labor Market Threatens Equities
The Treasury curve is the most inverted it's been since the 1980s...AND this is the longest period of inversion since then too. Yikes!

Event-Driven.blog
Dec 11, 20234 min read
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Economy in a Stranglehold
A cautious view about the current financial and economic environment would be entirely warranted, due in part to the brute force use of...

Event-Driven.blog
Sep 28, 20232 min read
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