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Looking for Trade Deals
The S&P 500 is up nearly 25% since April 9 when President Trump announced in his now-famous Truth Social post that it was a “…great time...

Event-Driven.blog
Jul 10, 20253 min read


Thinking about the Looming Tax Cuts
At year-end, taxes are scheduled to revert to their pre-2018 levels. This would mean a range of tax increases are on the horizon, with...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 18, 20254 min read


Event-Driven Hedge Funds Drive May Gains
Week after week, we show our readers a multitude of reasons why event-driven strategies are the coiled springs of investing — ready to...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 17, 20252 min read


International Trade Policy: Game of Chicken
Since their respective highs on February 19, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have fallen -13.7% and -19.3% through Friday, April 4....

Event-Driven.blog
Apr 7, 20253 min read


No Trump Put, For Now?
The market narrative during the last month has been consistent with the expectation we shared in our last client letter, that policy...

Event-Driven.blog
Mar 12, 20253 min read


Fed Policy & Market Whipsaw
Despite the fact that many leading economic indicators in recent years have been warning that a recession was just on the horizon, 2024...

Event-Driven.blog
Jan 20, 20253 min read


Take a Look Under the Event-Driven Hood
Every month, our two favorite event-driven portfolio managers (both sporting 5 Stars on Morningstar in the 1, 3, 5, AND 10-year...

Event-Driven.blog
Jan 7, 20251 min read


Unemployment, Recessions, and the S&P 500
Last month, we explained that interest rates were expected to stay higher for longer because inflation had become stubborn. Core PCE was...

Event-Driven.blog
Jun 27, 20243 min read


Higher for Longer | Early Signs of Pain
Interest rates will stay higher for longer. Following its April 30-May 1 meeting, the FOMC made clear that inflation has not sufficiently...

Event-Driven.blog
May 15, 20243 min read


An Economy of Contradictions
The global economy and financial markets are experiencing an unusual set of contradictions. As many of the world’s major central banks...

Event-Driven.blog
Mar 14, 20245 min read


2024: Year of Transition
We believe the biggest question of 2024 is: what will follow today’s major yield curve inversions? Today, the Fed is signaling a...

Event-Driven.blog
Feb 18, 20246 min read


Labor Market Threatens Equities
The Treasury curve is the most inverted it's been since the 1980s...AND this is the longest period of inversion since then too. Yikes!

Event-Driven.blog
Dec 11, 20234 min read


Economy in a Stranglehold
A cautious view about the current financial and economic environment would be entirely warranted, due in part to the brute force use of...

Event-Driven.blog
Sep 28, 20232 min read
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